Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
1 - 2
River Plate

Espinoza (40')
Merlini (74'), Ramirez (84'), Cardozo (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Solari (34'), Mastantuono (80')
Aliendro (59'), Fonseca (74'), Colidio (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 3-0 Tachira
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

River Plate

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	River Plate
28.24% ( -0.09)	25.58% ( -0.03)	46.18% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.06)

50.84% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

0.05)

72.72% (

-0.06)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.04)

32.43% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

-0.05)

68.94% (

0.05)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.08)

22% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

0.13)

55.32% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 28.24%

River Plate 46.17%

Draw 25.57%

Club Libertad	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.24%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.17%