Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Tigre0 - 1Libertad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Barracas Central
Monday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Libertad 2-1 Tigre
Friday, July 14 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, July 14 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Tigre 1-1 Club Libertad (Libertad win 3-2 on aggregate)
As Libertad are in by far the better form and could have won by more in last week's encounter, the Paraguayan club can secure their spot in the next round by holding Tigre to a draw. That would be enough to earn victory over two legs, setting up a last-16 tie for early next month. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Club Libertad |
45.24% ( -0.68) | 26.67% ( 0.16) | 28.08% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
