Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 29, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

El Nacional
0 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense

(Sportivo Trinidense win 2-1 on aggregate)

Mejia (17'), Mena (82'), Gracia (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rayer (84')
Delvalle (22'), de la Cruz (56'), Roman (65'), Salcedo (87'), Gimenez (88'), David Villalba Jacquet (88'), Jara (90'), Samudio (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between El Nacional and Sportivo Trinidense.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Nacional

Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 El Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Sportivo Trinidense

Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 El Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
El Nacional	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
57.39% ( 0)	22% ( 0.03)	20.6% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.43% (

-0.19)

42.57% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.03% (

-0.19)

64.97% (

0.2)

El Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4% (

-0.06)

14.6% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.31% (

-0.13)

42.69% (

0.13)

Sportivo Trinidense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.51% (

-0.14)

34.48% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.8% (

-0.15)

71.2% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

El Nacional 57.4%

Sportivo Trinidense 20.6%

Draw 22%

El Nacional	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.4%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.6%