Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 22, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estudiantes1 - 3Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes Merida and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes Merida | Draw | Nacional |
| 35.52% | 26.61% | 37.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
