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Estudiantes
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Athletico Paranaense

Estudiantes
0 - 1
Athletico PR


Diaz (39'), Andujar (67'), Zuqui (68'), Godoy (73'), Castro (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roque (90+6')
Henrique (29'), Pablo (55'), Canobbio (85'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Estudiantes and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Estudiantes 0-0 Athletico Paranaense

Estudiantes have drawn each of their last three matches 0-0, and with so much at stake it would not be a surprise if the same outcome occurs on Thursday. Zielinski's side are incredibly tough to break down and the onus will be on the visitors to break them down without leaving too many gaps at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawAthletico Paranaense
48.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.23% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (0.093000000000004 0.09)55.42% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)76.62% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.032999999999987 0.03)22.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)56.48% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.083999999999996 0.08)37.52% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)74.3% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 48.73%
    Athletico Paranaense 25.04%
    Draw 26.22%
EstudiantesDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 25.04%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Athletico PR

Estudiantes
41.2%
Draw
41.2%
Athletico Paranaense
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR
0-0
Estudiantes

Fernandinho (19'), Moura (67')

Piatti (37'), Rogel (62'), Castro (69'), Zuqui (72')
rhs 2.0
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