Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Melgar
Melgar0 - 1Atletico Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Melgar and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 2-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
53.4% ( 0.08) | 26.19% ( -0.01) | 20.4% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.3% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
