Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional3 - 1Melgar
FT(HT: 2-0)
Iberico (57')
Bordacahar (25'), Soso (67'), Orzan (68'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (82'), Deneumostier (90+1')
Bordacahar (25'), Soso (67'), Orzan (68'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (82'), Deneumostier (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Patronato 1-2 Atletico Nacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Nacional | Draw | Melgar |
46.63% ( 0.11) | 27.24% ( -0.06) | 26.14% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.67% ( 0.16) | 58.33% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.05% ( 0.13) | 78.95% ( -0.12) |
Atletico Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.13) | 25.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0.18) | 59.7% ( -0.17) |
Melgar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.83% ( 0.04) | 38.17% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.07% ( 0.04) | 74.93% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Nacional 46.63%
Melgar 26.14%
Draw 27.23%
Atletico Nacional | Draw | Melgar |
1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.14% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:58:08
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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