Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López
Patronato4 - 1Melgar
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Patronato and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Olimpia 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 3-1 Melgar
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.
Result | ||
Patronato | Draw | Melgar |
44.34% ( -0.19) | 27.64% ( 0.03) | 28.02% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% ( -0.03) | 58.75% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.72% ( -0.02) | 79.28% ( 0.02) |
Patronato Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( -0.14) | 61.51% ( 0.15) |
Melgar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( 0.11) | 36.82% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% ( 0.11) | 73.61% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Patronato 44.34%
Melgar 28.02%
Draw 27.64%
Patronato | Draw | Melgar |
1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.02% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 17:10:59
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
11 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Delap at the double as Ipswich fight back to secure point against Villa
2
Serie A move: Forward linked with Arsenal, Man United 'in talks with Juventus'
3
Will De Bruyne return? Man City predicted lineup against Slovan Bratislava
4
Slovan Bratislava vs. Man City - prediction, team news, lineups
5
White concern, five missing: Arsenal injury list for PSG clash
6
La Liga talent: Liverpool 'join the race for highly-rated Spanish defender'
7
Sunday's Premier League predictions including Man United vs. Tottenham
8
Arsenal vs. PSG - prediction, team news, lineups
9
Chelsea boss calls star man "the best player in the Premier League"
10
Barcelona vs. Young Boys - prediction, team news, lineups
Sport News 24/7