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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunelli (9'), Pereira (25'), Viera (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Nacional
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
53.14% (0.40600000000001 0.41) 25.98% (-0.15 -0.15) 20.89% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (0.274 0.27)58.04% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (0.216 0.22)78.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.288 0.29)21.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (0.434 0.43)55.23% (-0.43 -0.43)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.111 -0.11)43.04% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)79.33% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 53.13%
    River Plate 20.89%
    Draw 25.97%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.13%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
River Plate
1-1
Nacional
Borbas (67')
Laborda (54')
Coelho (17')
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Nacional
4-2
River Plate
Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool96301771021
2Defensor SportingDefensor9522115617
3Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia9522106417
4Juventud95221512317
5Racing de MontevideoRacing9513106416
6Cerro Largo9351118314
7NacionalNacional93421713413
8CerroCerro934298113
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque92431015-510
10Boston RiverBoston River9234912-39
11PenarolPenarol9234812-49
12DanubioDanubio9081910-18
13Miramar Misiones9225913-48
14Montevideo WanderersWanderers9144911-27
15ProgresoProgreso91441019-97
16River PlateRiver Plate9036815-73


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