MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:09:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Nacional

Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')
Coelho (18'), Arezo (21'), Homenchenko (64')
Saravia (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (18'), Noguera (25'), Rodriguez (27')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Penarol
Saturday, March 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 River Plate
Sunday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawNacional
36.23% (-0.161 -0.16) 29.02% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.76% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.81% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11% (-0.107 -0.11)61.89% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)81.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.157 -0.16)32.57% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.178 -0.18)69.11% (0.182 0.18)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)33.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.035 0.04)70.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 36.22%
    Nacional 34.75%
    Draw 29%
PenarolDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.22%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 10.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.75%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Nacional
3-1
Penarol
Laborda (45+1'), Suarez (53'), Candido (76')
Lozano (12'), Zabala (90+7')
Mendez (61')
Rak (14'), Rossi (77'), Lozano (86'), Da Silveira (90+8')
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Penarol
1-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Penarol
0-0
Nacional

Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')

Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16
Penarol
0-1
Nacional

Acosta (62'), Gonzalez (83')
Musto (90+6')
Corujo (90+11')
Cantera (20'), Fernandez (62'), Trezza (83')
Carballo (90+4'), Cantera (90+10')
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16
Nacional
1-2
Penarol
Bergessio (90+5')
Marichal (65'), Mendez (76')
Canobbio (45+2'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Rodriguez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol107211831523
2NacionalNacional107212181323
3Boston RiverBoston River10712169722
4DanubioDanubio10541114719
5Racing de MontevideoRacing10451117417
6Rampla JuniorsRampla104331111015
7Miramar Misiones10343811-313
8FenixFenix104151014-413
9Defensor SportingDefensor93331211112
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers93241112-111
11River PlateRiver Plate103251117-611
12LiverpoolLiverpool10244911-210
13Cerro Largo10235510-59
14CerroCerro10235816-89
15ProgresoProgreso10136512-76
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10028516-112
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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