Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Libertad
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Club Libertad.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, May 11 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 11 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Libertad
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Club Libertad |
69.11% ( 0.03) | 18.26% ( -0.02) | 12.63% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.56% ( 0.03) | 40.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.18% ( 0.03) | 62.82% ( -0.03) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.38% ( 0.02) | 10.62% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.57% ( 0.03) | 34.43% ( -0.04) |
Club Libertad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% ( -0.02) | 43.07% ( 0.01) |