Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.