MX23RW : Monday, March 10 14:21:07| >> :60:942:942:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
2 - 2
America

Paiva (54', 71')
Paiva (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (38'), Vergara (44')
Balanta (60'), Carrascal (77')
America win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Atletico Junior and America de Cali.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Junior 1-2 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawAmerica de Cali
41.14% (-0.214 -0.21) 28.42% (0.228 0.23) 30.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.55% (-0.63 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.45% (-0.787 -0.79)60.55% (0.785 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (-0.597 -0.6)80.65% (0.59700000000001 0.6)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.498 -0.5)28.93% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.625 -0.63)64.82% (0.624 0.62)
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.435 -0.44)35.9% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (-0.45 -0.45)72.68% (0.447 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 41.14%
    America de Cali 30.44%
    Draw 28.4%
Atletico JuniorDrawAmerica de Cali
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.44%

rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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