Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 18.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.