MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 10:43:09| >> :600:699204:699204:
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Junior

Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (76')
Palacios (3'), Bolados (23'), Wiemberg (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Colorado (4'), Herrera (19'), Fuentes (23'), Enamorado (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Colo-Colo and Atletico Junior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Junior 0-0 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Colo-Colo 0-0 Atletico Junior

It has been a while since either side have been involved in a game of this magnitude, and we expect both teams to be timid and play to avoid defeat rather than win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawAtletico Junior
56.4% (-0.064 -0.06) 24.88% (0.023 0.02) 18.72% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (-0.029 -0.03)77.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.02% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)52.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 56.39%
    Atletico Junior 18.72%
    Draw 24.88%
Colo-ColoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 18.72%

How you voted: Colo-Colo vs Junior

Colo-Colo
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Atletico Junior
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
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7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
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10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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