Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Junior0 - 0Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Atletico Junior 1-2 Botafogo
The arrival of Jorge has triggered a serious upturn in fortunes for Botafogo, who boast the tournament's most potent centre-forward in Santos and have hit a rich vein of form domestically and continentally. Atletico Junior have tended to keep their games close in Group D and should not deviate from that trend here, but it should be the Lone Star celebrating a narrow triumph at full time, one which will see them through in first place at their hosts' expense. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Botafogo |
39.62% ( 0.04) | 27.92% ( -0.01) | 32.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
