Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Sportivo Trinidense
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Andrada (45')
Andrada (45+1'), Quinonez (73'), Roman (89'), de la Cruz (90'), Jara (90+5')
Arrua (33'), Andrada (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Figal (70'), Cavani (90+2')
Advincula (31'), Romero (32')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Trinidense

Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 1 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Sportivo Trinidense	Draw	Boca Juniors
15.58% ( -0.36)	24.14% ( -0.08)	60.28% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 40.74% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81% (

-0.23)

58.19% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

-0.18)

78.84% (

0.19)

Sportivo Trinidense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.39% (

-0.63)

49.61% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.62% (

-0.45)

84.38% (

0.45)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

0.08)

19.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.18% (

0.13)

50.81% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense 15.58%

Boca Juniors 60.27%

Draw 24.13%

Sportivo Trinidense	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.58%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 15.7% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 12.97% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 60.27%