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Cuiaba
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
2 - 0
Melgar

Elton (78', 90+5')
Marcao (12'), Pepe (28'), Marllon (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bordacahar (21'), Orzan (38'), Deneumostier (45+1'), Ramos (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cuiaba and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

Last Six:
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Cuiaba vs. Bragantino
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Melgar

Last Six:
    Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
    Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
    Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
    Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

    Result
    CuiabaDrawMelgar
    40.91%24.99%34.1%
    Both teams to score 57.38%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    54.02%45.98%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    31.72%68.28%
    Cuiaba Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.6%22.4%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.08%55.92%
    Melgar Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.94%26.06%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.9%61.1%
    Score Analysis
        Cuiaba 40.91%
        Melgar 34.1%
        Draw 24.99%
    CuiabaDrawMelgar
    2-1 @ 8.79%
    1-0 @ 8.73%
    2-0 @ 6.53%
    3-1 @ 4.38%
    3-0 @ 3.26%
    3-2 @ 2.95%
    4-1 @ 1.64%
    4-0 @ 1.22%
    4-2 @ 1.1%
    Other @ 2.31%
    Total : 40.91%
    		1-1 @ 11.74%
    2-2 @ 5.91%
    0-0 @ 5.84%
    3-3 @ 1.32%
    Other @ 0.18%
    Total : 24.99%
    		1-2 @ 7.9%
    0-1 @ 7.85%
    0-2 @ 5.28%
    1-3 @ 3.54%
    2-3 @ 2.65%
    0-3 @ 2.37%
    1-4 @ 1.19%
    Other @ 3.33%
    Total : 34.1%

    How you voted: Cuiaba vs Melgar

    Cuiaba
    85.7%
    Draw
    14.3%
    Melgar
    0.0%
    7
    rhs 2.0
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