MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 20:23:09| >> :60:128:128:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 1
Cesar Vallejo


Herrera (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aguilera (90' og.)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Cesar Vallejo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Defensa
Saturday, May 25 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Always Ready
Thursday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawCesar Vallejo
64.6% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 20.29% (-0.023 -0.02) 15.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)12.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)41.76% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.23% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 64.59%
    Cesar Vallejo 15.1%
    Draw 20.29%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawCesar Vallejo
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.71% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.1%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Cesar Vallejo
0-1
Defensa

Olaya (78'), Barreto (90')
Zapata (59')
Calderon (54'), Herrera (87')
rhs 2.0
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