Medellin2 - 1Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, April 11 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
42.49% ( -0.03) | 29.1% ( 0.15) | 28.41% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
