Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1Medellin
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huracan 3-1 Defensa
Saturday, May 11 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 11 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 1-5 Medellin
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
50.32% ( -0.03) | 24.38% ( 0.01) | 25.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
