Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima0 - 0Medellin
Medellin win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tolima 3-1 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Medellin
Thursday, July 20 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, July 20 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
58.14% ( -0.05) | 23.92% ( 0.01) | 17.95% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
