MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 21:43:48| >> :60:371:371:
Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
America Mineiro

Fortaleza
2 - 1
America Mineiro

Guilherme (22'), Marinho (66')
Augusto (5'), Marinho (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Breno (89')
Mendez (13'), Everaldo (30'), Rodriguinho (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 2-0 America Mineiro (Fortaleza advances 5-1 on aggregate)

America have proven to be a resilient bunch in this competition, but facing a side as well-balanced as Fortaleza, and given the struggles of Mineiro in front of goal, we have a hard believing they will be able to reverse the current scoreline in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
61.17% (1.885 1.89) 22.05% (-0.183 -0.18) 16.79% (-1.701 -1.7)
Both teams to score 48.9% (-2.697 -2.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (-1.919 -1.92)48.52% (1.92 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-1.775 -1.78)70.64% (1.774 1.77)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)15.38% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.83% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)44.17% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-3.165 -3.17)42.21% (3.165 3.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-2.852 -2.85)78.62% (2.851 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 61.16%
    America Mineiro 16.79%
    Draw 22.04%
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.92 0.92)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.85 0.85)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.1% (0.525 0.52)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.242 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.267 -0.27)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 61.16%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.423 -0.42)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.447 -0.45)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.236 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs America Mineiro

Fortaleza
100%
Draw
0.0%
America Mineiro
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
America Mineiro
1-3
Fortaleza
Mastriani (69')
Borges (45+2'), Burgos (82')
Guilherme (15', 41'), Pochettino (21')
Alexandre (0'), Pablo Vojvoda (46'), Ricardo (79'), Alexandre (90+2')
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
America Mineiro
2-1
Fortaleza
Breno (2'), Azevedo (33')
Avelar (16'), Marques (53'), Marcinho (60'), Kal (88')
Pochettino (26')
Ceballos (23'), Moises (45')
Oct 16, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 32
America Mineiro
1-2
Fortaleza
Paulista (90+1' pen.)
Galhardo (34', 83')
Jun 19, 2022 10pm
Oct 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 29
America Mineiro
2-1
Fortaleza
Jussa (58'), Titi (63'), Lima (66'), Romarinho (77'), Ederson (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
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8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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