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America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 31, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Independencia
Fortaleza

America Mineiro
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Ademir (42' pen.), Azevedo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
David (50')
Jussa (58'), Titi (63'), Lima (66'), Romarinho (77'), Ederson (81')

Preview: America Mineiro vs. Fortaleza - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fortaleza will look to take their league winning run to four games on Sunday, when they travel to take on America Mineiro.

A strong run of form has seen the visitors climb back up to third spot in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table, while their hosts now sit 10th thanks to a victory of their own last time out.


Match preview

Fortaleza head coach Juan Pablo Vojvoda pictured on October 7, 2021© Reuters

After winning promotion from the second tier last term, America Mineiro had a difficult start to the new campaign, occupying a spot in the relegation zone for large portions of the first half of the season.

They have been able to reverse their form recently, inspiring a climb up the table, having first gone on an eye-catching eight-game league unbeaten run over the course of August, September and October, picking up 16 points in the process.

That was eventually put to an end by a defeat to Internacional, but Marquinhos Santos's side quickly bounced back, drawing with Bahia before they beat Santos 2-0 last time out thanks to goals from Ademir and Alexandre Egea either side of half time.

Thanks to their upturn in form in recent months, the Coelho now sit far more comfortably in 10th spot, six points above the drop zone, and they will be keen to continue their rise into the top half of the division with what would be another eye-catching win on Sunday.

They welcome a Fortaleza side who arrive in a fine run of form on their own, having won their last three league games.

After an inconsistent run across September and the beginning of October, Sunday's visitors briefly dropped out of the top three, but they have since found their feet again.

Juan Pablo Vojvoda's side followed up a defeat to Flamengo with a narrow victory over strugglers Gremio, before they made it two wins on the spin by beating Chapecoense 2-1 away from home, with Yago Pikachu snatching all three points with a 93rd-minute winner.

Pikachu was again on the scoresheet in their most recent league outing, as he netted in the first 10 minutes alongside Lucas Lima against Athletico Paranaense, before Robson capped off a strong team showing with a third goal on the hour mark.

While they have suffered a heavy aggregate defeat to league leaders Atletico Mineiro in the Copa do Brasil semi-final in their recent run, the Leao do Pici will have certainly seen the league as a priority and will now look to make it four top-flight wins on the bounce, with the chance to overtake second-placed Palmeiras.

America Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Fortaleza's Benevenuto celebrates scoring with teammates on October 7, 2021© Reuters

After an impressive victory at Santos last time out, America Mineiro are unlikely to make many changes to their side heading into Sunday, with Marquinhos Santos set to stick with his preferred 4-2-3-1 system.

Ademir will continue to be a crucial man in the attacking line, having netted his sixth goal of the season in that win, despite agreeing a deal to move to Atletico Mineiro at the end of the campaign.

Experienced Argentinian forward Mauro Zarate will battle to earn a starting spot, after returning from an injury to feature from the bench last time out.

Fortaleza are likely to field an unchanged side from the one that thrashed Athletico Paranaense 3-0 in the last league outing.

Robson will again lead the line with the support of Lima, after both got on the scoresheet in that game, while Yago Pikachu will continue to offer threat from the wide areas, having found the net in each of the last three league outings.

Vojvoda should deploy an unchanged back three, consisting of Ederson, Titi and Marcelo Benevenuto.

America Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Cavichioli; Patric, Potiguar, Eduardo, Marlon; Kal, Egea; Ademir, Juninho, Azevedo; Zarate

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Boeck; Ederson, Benevenuto, Titi; Pikachu, Jussa, Ronald, Melo; Lima; David, Robson


SM words green background

We say: America Mineiro 1-1 Fortaleza

While Fortaleza have now put three league victories together on the spin, the hosts have shown themselves to be particularly difficult to beat in recent months, and we do not see Vojvoda's men leaving with all three points.

We instead expect a share of the spoils, with both sides extending their unbeaten runs in the Brazilian top flight.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Fortaleza

America Mineiro
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Fortaleza
50.0%
6
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Tables header RHS
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1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Fluminense32107152834-637
14CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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