Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente1 - 1Santos
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Santos |
| 46.13% | 24.1% | 29.77% |
| Both teams to score 58.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
