Santos
1 - 0
Independiente

(Santos win 2-1 on aggregate)

Jorge (69')
Fernandes (66'), Sanchez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (39'), Manuel Insaurralde (80'), Gonzalez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Santos and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Independiente
50.35%	25.88%	23.77%

Both teams to score 48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.88%

55.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63%

76.37%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06%

21.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78%

55.22%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49%

38.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74%

75.26%

Score Analysis

Santos 50.34%

Independiente 23.77%

Draw 25.87%

Santos	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.34%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.77%