Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 15, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Santos1 - 0Independiente
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Independiente |
| 50.35% | 25.88% | 23.77% |
| Both teams to score 48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
