MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:46:41| >> :60:40:40:
Independiente del Valle
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Ruminahui del Valle de Los Chillos

Independiente
0 - 0
Boca Juniors

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente del Valle and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Liverpool
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente del Valle 1-1 Boca Juniors

While the hosts enter this match with the better form line, they have not played in almost two months and may just need this match to find top gear. Boca Juniors, while not at their best domestically this season, have turned up in this competition and we feel they will keep the tie level, giving them something to take back to Buenos Aires next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawBoca Juniors
42.46% (-0.218 -0.22) 26.53% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 31% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.177 -0.18)53.44% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-0.149 -0.15)74.96% (0.149 0.15)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.19 -0.19)24.91% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-0.264 -0.26)59.53% (0.265 0.27)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.026 0.03)68.18% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 42.46%
    Boca Juniors 31%
    Draw 26.53%
Independiente del ValleDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31%

How you voted: Independiente vs Boca Juniors

Independiente del Valle
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Boca Juniors
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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