MX23RW : Friday, April 11 10:17:49| >> :60:879:879:
Nublense
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

Nublense
0 - 1
LDU Quito


Caroca (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guerrero (60')
Ade (38'), Gonzalez (87'), Dominguez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Nublense and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Audax 0-1 Nublense
Friday, July 21 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Nublense 1-1 LDU Quito

While the visitors come into the match with a better record in the first half of the season, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last four away matches and may find it difficult to keep a clean sheet in this one as well. The hosts have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, unbeaten in their last five, and cannot be counted out of the contest just yet. Our feeling is that these sides will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Nublense win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for LDU Quito in this match.

Result
NublenseDrawLDU Quito
29.72% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 26.03% (0.00099999999999767 0) 44.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.2% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)68.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)23.36% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nublense 29.72%
    LDU Quito 44.25%
    Draw 26.03%
NublenseDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.72%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.36%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.25%

How you voted: Nublense vs LDU Quito

Nublense
Draw
LDU Quito
Nublense
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
LDU Quito
62.5%
8
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle30165952391353
6Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
7Aston Villa3114984646051
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3145222570-4517
20Southampton3124252374-5110


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!