Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 3am UK
LDU Quito4 - 0Magallanes
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Magallanes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Magallanes |
56.12% ( -1.66) | 22.7% ( 0.94) | 21.18% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -3.24) | 44.91% ( 3.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -3.19) | 67.27% ( 3.2) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( -1.64) | 15.82% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55% ( -3.12) | 45% ( 3.12) |
| Magallanes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( -1.14) | 35.25% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.99% ( -1.21) | 72.01% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
LDU Quito 56.11%
Magallanes 21.18%
Draw 22.7%
| LDU Quito | Draw | Magallanes |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.24)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.18% |
Form Guide
