Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.