Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.