Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.