Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.