Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.