Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 20, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Independiente |
| 33.89% | 28.26% | 37.86% |
| Both teams to score 46.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
