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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 13, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Newell's OB

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (23'), Fernandez (67')
Perez (57')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawNewell's Old Boys
47.57%26.68%25.75%
Both teams to score 47.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4%56.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42%77.58%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01%57.99%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.33%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 47.57%
    Newell's Old Boys 25.75%
    Draw 26.67%
Velez SarsfieldDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.83%
2-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.95%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 8.76%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.75%

Head to Head
Jan 3, 2021 10.20pm
Fase Complementacion
Newell's OB
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Sforza (44'), Perez (62')
Brizuela (75')
Bouzat (82')
Aug 24, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Newell's OB
Dominguez (30', 62'), Janson (71')
Bouzat (64'), Robertone (65'), Romero (80')
Rodriguez (38')
Rodriguez (32'), Gentiletti (76'), Formica (78'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 10, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 1
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Newell's OB
Abram (2'), Vargas (27' pen.)
Abram (18'), Salinas (76')

Ferroni (6'), Ibanez (9'), Fontanini (26')
rhs 2.0
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