MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:33:38| >> :600:1045290:1045290:
Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Cesena
3 - 1
Calcio Padova

Kargbo (9'), Shpendi (38'), Francesconi (86')
Curto (49'), Antonucci (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bortolussi (73')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Cesena and Calcio Padova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions
Last Game: Cesena 4-1 Forlì
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Calcio Padova
Wednesday, July 31 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.

Result
CesenaDrawCalcio Padova
47.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.76% (-0.032 -0.03) 27.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.79% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (0.137 0.14)47.86% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.125 0.13)70.04% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.063000000000002 0.06)20.1% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (0.102 0.1)52.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
Calcio Padova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (0.078999999999994 0.08)31.43% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (0.090000000000003 0.09)67.8% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cesena 47.73%
    Calcio Padova 27.51%
    Draw 24.76%
CesenaDrawCalcio Padova
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.51%

How you voted: Cesena vs Calcio Padova

Cesena
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Calcio Padova
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
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