Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 0Cesena
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bologna and Cesena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cesena 2-2 Virtus Entella (6-5 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia
Sunday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Cesena |
63.84% ( 0.02) | 20.7% ( -0) | 15.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
