Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2 - 0Pau
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 5-1 Troyes
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Pau
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Lille 4-0 Pau
Lille are coming into this clash after a five-star performance against Troyes, and their fans will be expecting a similar scoreline when they face Ligue 2 opposition this Sunday. Pau will be relishing the opportunity to compete with one of France's elite clubs this weekend but face an almighty task in keeping the score down - let alone progressing into the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pau had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Pau |
69.62% ( -0.06) | 18.69% ( -0.01) | 11.69% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( 0.26) | 44.82% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( 0.25) | 67.18% ( -0.24) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( 0.06) | 11.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.12) | 36.82% ( -0.12) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.54% ( 0.3) | 47.46% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.17% ( 0.22) | 82.83% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 69.61%
Pau 11.69%
Draw 18.69%
| Lille | Draw | Pau |
| 2-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.69% | 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 11.69% |
How you voted: Lille vs Pau
Lille
88.2%Draw
5.9%Pau
5.9%17
