Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 0
Angers

Djalo (36')
Gomes (62'), Fonte (65'), Martin (90+4')
Balepa (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Capelle (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Angers

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Angers have been relatively competitive against strong sides in their recent defeats, we cannot look past a rampant Lille side to record a convincing victory here. Having played all the teams in and around them, an upcoming run against inferior opposition provides a great opportunity for Fonseca's men to keep the pressure on the top four, and we expect them to start that run with a bang. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Angers
62.91% ( 0.11)	21.28% ( -0.04)	15.8% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

0.04)

47.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

0.04)

69.3% (

-0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

0.05)

14.34% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.81% (

0.09)

42.19% (

-0.09)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.4% (

-0.07)

42.6% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.04% (

-0.06)

78.95% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Lille 62.9%

Angers 15.8%

Draw 21.28%

Lille	Draw	Angers
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 62.9%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.28%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.8%