Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
We said: Lille 3-0 Angers
While Angers have been relatively competitive against strong sides in their recent defeats, we cannot look past a rampant Lille side to record a convincing victory here.
Having played all the teams in and around them, an upcoming run against inferior opposition provides a great opportunity for Fonseca's men to keep the pressure on the top four, and we expect them to start that run with a bang.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.91% . A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.83%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%) , while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.21%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result Lille Draw Angers 62.91% ( 0.11) 21.28% ( -0.04) 15.8% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.04)
52.94% ( 0.04) 47.06% ( -0.04)
30.7% ( 0.04) 69.3% ( -0.04)
85.66% ( 0.05) 14.34% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.81% ( 0.09) 42.19% ( -0.09)
57.4% ( -0.07) 42.6% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.04% ( -0.06) 78.95% ( 0.06)
Lille 62.9%
Angers 15.8%
Draw 21.28%
Lille Draw Angers 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 62.9% 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.28% 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.8%
How you voted: Lille vs Angers
48
rhs 2.0
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