Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 2, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 1
Reims

David (32')
Alexsandro (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cajuste (79')
Abdelhamid (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Lille
Wednesday, December 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Rennes
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Still can bask in rightful adulation after his fast start to life with Reims, picking up a win away from home is a box that he has left unticked, and Lille need no second invitation to turn up the heat at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The in-form Balogun has been able to trouble most defences in Ligue 1 this season, but a refreshed David spells success for Les Dogues, who should edge an exciting contest to hand Still his first defeat at the helm. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Reims had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Reims
54.14% ( -0.26)	23.76% ( -0.02)	22.1% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

0.4)

48.36% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.5% (

0.36)

70.5% (

-0.36)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

0.05)

17.76% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.54% (

0.09)

48.46% (

-0.09)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

0.49)

36.3% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

0.5)

73.09% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Lille 54.14%

Reims 22.1%

Draw 23.76%

Lille	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.14%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.1%