Nantes
2 - 0
Bastia

Blas (3' pen.), Kolo (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sainati (1'), Robic (85')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Bastia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bastia have not fluked their way to the quarter-finals - Brouard's side have produced some solid defensive displays and can feel quietly optimistic about their chances of advancing. However, Nantes have turned the Stade de la Beaujoire into a fortress in recent weeks and have some distinguished names in the final third, so we expect Les Canaris to book their spot in the semi-finals, but not without a fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Bastia
48.07%	24.86%	27.07%

Both teams to score 54.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43%

48.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31%

70.69%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75%

20.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42%

52.57%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86%

32.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38%

68.61%

Score Analysis

Nantes 48.07%

Bastia 27.07%

Draw 24.85%

Nantes	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.07%