Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes2 - 0Bastia
We said: Nantes 1-0 Bastia
Bastia have not fluked their way to the quarter-finals - Brouard's side have produced some solid defensive displays and can feel quietly optimistic about their chances of advancing. However, Nantes have turned the Stade de la Beaujoire into a fortress in recent weeks and have some distinguished names in the final third, so we expect Les Canaris to book their spot in the semi-finals, but not without a fight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Bastia |
| 48.07% | 24.86% | 27.07% |
| Both teams to score 54.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
