Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for an Aarhus win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Copenhagen in this match.