Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich
Given Augsburg's amount of expected absences through injury, only significant rotation from the visitors may spare them a drubbing. Bayern's squad depth may not compare to some of Europe's elite teams but it is still enviable to pretty much any team in Germany, and they should have more than enough to advance to the third round regardless of how many changes Nagelsmann makes to his starting XI. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
8.39% ( -0.06) | 13.08% ( 0) | 78.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
