MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 00:54:34| >> :60:2739:2739:
Augsburg logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
WWK Arena
Bayern logo

Augsburg
2 - 5
Bayern

Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Pedersen (78'), Gouweleeuw (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

Given Augsburg's amount of expected absences through injury, only significant rotation from the visitors may spare them a drubbing. Bayern's squad depth may not compare to some of Europe's elite teams but it is still enviable to pretty much any team in Germany, and they should have more than enough to advance to the third round regardless of how many changes Nagelsmann makes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
8.39% (-0.057 -0.06) 13.08% (0.0030000000000001 0) 78.53% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 55% (-0.333 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.53% (-0.253 -0.25)27.47% (0.255 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.92% (-0.319 -0.32)48.08% (0.322 0.32)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (-0.326 -0.33)41.77% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.285 -0.29)78.23% (0.288 0.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)5.55% (0.043 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.4% (-0.122 -0.12)21.6% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 8.39%
    Bayern Munich 78.53%
    Draw 13.08%
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 8.39%
1-1 @ 5.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.08%
0-2 @ 9.69% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 9.34% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 8.15% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.75% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 5.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-6 @ 1.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 78.53%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern

Augsburg
9.2%
Draw
10.5%
Bayern Munich
80.3%
76
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Bayern
Pedersen (23'), Hahn (36')
Hahn (45'), Framberger (79'), Weinzierl (90+1')
Lewandowski (38')
Hernandez (45+1')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
5-2
Augsburg
Gouweleeuw (9' og.), Gnabry (23'), Kimmich (33'), Coman (43'), Lewandowski (90')
Hernandez (83')
Hahn (67'), Niederlechner (72')
Suchy (69')
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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