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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.75%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 7.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
81.75% | 11.22% | 7.03% |
Both teams to score 56.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.43% | 22.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.31% | 41.69% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.89% | 4.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.77% | 17.23% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% | 40.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% | 77.42% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
3-0 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 8.16% 2-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 6.52% 1-0 @ 5.36% 5-0 @ 4.65% 5-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-2 @ 2.92% 6-0 @ 2.48% 6-1 @ 2.22% 5-2 @ 1.86% 7-0 @ 1.13% 7-1 @ 1.01% 6-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.04% Total : 81.75% | 1-1 @ 4.8% 2-2 @ 3.43% 0-0 @ 1.68% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.22% Total : 11.22% | 1-2 @ 2.15% 0-1 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |