Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
63% ( 0.78) | 20.74% ( -0) | 16.26% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -1.44) | 43.87% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -1.42) | 66.26% ( 1.42) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% ( -0.22) | 13.3% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.87% ( -0.44) | 40.13% ( 0.44) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% ( -1.83) | 40.09% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -1.72) | 76.73% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.74% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |