Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 2
Augsburg

Tigges (47', 81'), Huseinbasic (61')
Duda (62'), Uth (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Niederlechner (14'), Caligiuri (68')
Berisha (22'), Vargas (36'), Iago (54'), Petkov (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Partizan 2-0 FC Koln
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Attack may be the best form of defence for the visitors given the amount of injuries and suspensions they have at centre-back, but Koln are likely to look the more balanced unit as a result thia weekend. As such, we expect them to return to winning ways after a difficult week, with Augsburg arguably due to suffer a defeat at some point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Augsburg
63% ( 0.78)	20.74% ( -0)	16.26% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13% (

-1.44)

43.87% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74% (

-1.42)

66.26% (

1.42)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7% (

-0.22)

13.3% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.87% (

-0.44)

40.13% (

0.44)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

-1.83)

40.09% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

-1.72)

76.73% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 63%

Augsburg 16.26%

Draw 20.74%

FC Koln	Draw	Augsburg
2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.74%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.26%