Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
We said: Augsburg 0-1 Hertha Berlin
With both sides struggling to find the net so far this season, it is hard to envisage too many goals between two teams short on confidence.
However, Hertha have looked a more balanced outfit during the early weeks of Schwarz's tenure, and we can see them edging a narrow victory on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.49% . A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%) . The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
Result Augsburg Draw Hertha Berlin 33.92% ( 0.21) 26.58% ( 0.09) 39.49% ( -0.3)
Both teams to score 52% ( -0.24)
47.11% ( -0.33) 52.88% ( 0.33)
25.5% ( -0.28) 74.49% ( 0.28)
70.48% ( -0.03) 29.51% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.47% ( -0.03) 65.53% ( 0.04)
73.77% ( -0.31) 26.22% ( 0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.67% ( -0.42) 61.33% ( 0.43)
Augsburg 33.92%
Hertha Berlin 39.49%
Draw 26.58%
Augsburg Draw Hertha Berlin 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.92% 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.49%
How you voted: Augsburg vs Hertha Berlin
Augsburg
Draw
Hertha Berlin
56
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 08:09:35
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