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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Augsburg |
48.58% ( 0.33) | 25.01% ( -0.18) | 26.4% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( 0.62) | 49.69% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% ( 0.56) | 71.7% ( -0.55) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( 0.39) | 20.48% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( 0.62) | 52.95% ( -0.62) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( 0.21) | 33.26% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( 0.23) | 69.87% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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