DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Oct 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Hamburger SV

Poulsen (33', 36'), Simakan (69'), Henrichs (81')
Henrichs (39'), Simakan (45+4'), Raum (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Muheim (15'), Meffert (40'), Bilbija (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hamburger SV

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Hamburger SV
43.15% ( 0)	22.99% ( -0)	33.85% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 64.6% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.49% (

-0.01)

36.5% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.35% (

-0.01)

58.64% (

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

-0)

17.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

-0)

47.89% (

-0)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.01)

21.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

-0.01)

54.92% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 43.15%

Hamburger SV 33.85%

Draw 22.99%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 4.08% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 33.85%