Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Celtic
Wednesday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 RB Leipzig
Rose seems to have decided attack is the best form of defence at Leipzig, and we can envisage them gaining a narrow victory as a result on Saturday. Mainz have not looked at their best in recent times and, while they are never likely to be pushovers under Svensson, they may lack a bit of quality to get a positive result at the weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
28.41% ( 0.01) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 46.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
