Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Ingvartsen (45')
Hack (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nkunku (80')
Forsberg (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Celtic
Wednesday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 RB Leipzig

Rose seems to have decided attack is the best form of defence at Leipzig, and we can envisage them gaining a narrow victory as a result on Saturday. Mainz have not looked at their best in recent times and, while they are never likely to be pushovers under Svensson, they may lack a bit of quality to get a positive result at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	RB Leipzig
28.41% ( 0.01)	24.72% ( 0.01)	46.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

-0.01)

47.12% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

-0.01)

69.36% (

0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

30.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

66.56% (

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-0)

20.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

-0.01)

52.46% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 28.41%

RB Leipzig 46.86%

Draw 24.72%

Mainz 05	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.41%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.86%