Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 2Hertha Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 0-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Hertha will be the fresher team having not played in midweek and they should make life difficult for Leipzig, especially having put together an impressive unbeaten run. However, there is little doubt that the hosts have much greater attacking firepower, and this should help them secure a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
68.7% ( 0.03) | 18.01% ( -0.01) | 13.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
