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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
68.7% (![]() | 18.01% (![]() | 13.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.4% (![]() | 37.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.17% (![]() | 59.83% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.05% (![]() | 9.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.1% (![]() | 32.9% (![]() |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.79% | 40.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.15% (![]() | 76.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.97% Total : 68.7% | 1-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.01% | 1-2 @ 3.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |